1.🚁 Heli view: How the climate sector can fulfil its jobs promise 

At least $30 billion of climate finance arrives on the continent per year. You'd think that will result in plenty of new jobs. But does it? 

• The question was debated by insiders on LinkedIn this week, for example here. 

Why it matters: At the opening of last year's Africa Climate Summit, heads of state routinely praised their biggest asset: “Our young people”. 

• What many said more quietly -- public support for turning forests into carbon sinks rather than development zones depends on creating green jobs for those young people in the process. 

So we asked experts: How many green jobs will there be? No comprehensive study to "size, situate and catalyse green livelihoods” exists, so well-connected insiders tell us. 

• Apparently nobody has a detailed answer to perhaps the key question in Africa's green economy.

What we do know: Last year, UNEP published a top-down Africa report that suggested, "Restoring nature can unlock a business value of $10 trillion and create 395 million jobs by 2030."

• But while the report mentions jobs, its focus is on GDP growth. 

• There is no detailed breakdown of employment potential.  

Measuring by sector: We’ve collected published sources (and some unpublished ones) to aggregate jobs forecasts for the main sectors in the green economy (likely a first).

Carbon markets: Included here are nature-based solutions, conservation and biodiversity. 

• The Africa Carbon Markets Initiative (ACMI) envisages 30 million jobs by 2030. 

Renewable energy: Including solar, hydro, wind, geothermal, mini grids and battery storage. 

• Sustainable Energy for All, an NGO, forecasts up to 14m jobs by 2030.

Electric vehicles: No numbers for the whole continent, but forerider South Africa may see an employment boost of 650,000, according to a report last month. 

Green industrialisation: This includes minerals, hydrogen and construction.

• Local smelting (instead of exporting) of bauxite could create 280,000 jobs, and 215,000 jobs from iron ore, according to Cap-A. 

• Green hydrogen may create up to 4.2 million jobs by 2050, says an industry body.

Waste management: Including the circular economy, UNICEF targets 1 million jobs by 2030.

Reality check: These forecasts add up to about 50 million new jobs. Really? The total number of formal jobs in Africa is currently 70-80 million.

Significant challenges: The funding of ventures that could create 50m new jobs is hard enough. But even more remains to be done in preparation for such employment growth.

Lack of skills: Most employer surveys say improvements in education and training are needed as a stepping stone. 

• Focusing on female talent is a potential shortcut. Women hold only 25% of leadership roles and 26% of middle and lower management roles in African renewables.

Lack of awareness: Too few in the labour force understand what the green economy is and why it offers opportunities, say search firms. 

• To mitigate this, new communication channels and job boards are needed.

Barriers to entry: Some climate-related sectors appear insular or closed to outsiders and job-changers. 

• Green Rising is often contacted by highly qualified professionals who say they cannot break through green jargon and narrow job qualifications. 

2. Cheat sheet: Five countries with lots of renewable energy jobs

(i) South Africa is investing in wind and solar power, with a potential for 1.8 million green jobs by 2030, mainly in urban centres.

(ii) Morocco is also investing in renewables, including solar, wind and hydro, with projections suggesting up to 482,000 new jobs in the next 20 years.

(iii) Nigeria has great renewables potential, with solar home system schemes potentially creating 250,000 jobs while providing electricity for 25 million Nigerians.

(iv) Rwanda's ambitious renewables targets, supported by the Rwanda Green Fund, have already created 137,500 jobs and improved energy access for 57,500 households.

(v) Kenya leads in renewables in East Africa, with abundant geothermal, wind and solar. Lake Turkana Wind Power supplies 20% of its electricity – yet created only 320 local jobs.

3. Number of the week